Our predictive model is powered by over 2.4 million Monte Carlo simulations for each fight.
Every simulation virtually replays the matchup round by round, integrating official stats (striking, grappling, cardio, defense), referee/judge tendencies, and even synergological signals (posture, eye contact, fatigue).
The results are consolidated into win probabilities by method (KO, submission, decision, etc.), dramatically reducing the margin of error through the law of large numbers and advanced calibrations (Platt, Isotonic, BBQ).